Last night I finally got around to watching Tuesday's premiere of "The Amazing Race 9." As is usually the case in the early stages, the producers have opted to portray each team in the broadest possible strokes, playing up each and every exaggerated behavior displayed by contestants.
That particular strategy is brilliant because it helps the audience quickly overcome the challenge of distinguishing between 11 different teams in just 2 hours time. Viewers can just slap a quick label on each team (e.g., "The Nerds," "The Hippies," "The Frat Guys," etc.) and everyone becomes instantly memorable.
The problem with that approach, however, is that when each team's most over-the-top behavior is used to define them, everyone comes off as pretty unlikable from the start. In fact, the only team that didn't get on my nerves during Tuesday's episode was David & Lori ("The Nerds"). They never bickered. They never belittled each other or other teams. They never made fun of the locals. They never boasted about how much better they were than everyone else. And that's why I'm rooting for them. But can they win?
Here's how I'm handicapping this season's teams.
THE FRONTRUNNERS...
Joseph & Monica
Received practically no air time in the premiere, usually a positive omen because it suggests the producers are going to let us get to know them slowly over the course of the entire race. They finished in the middle of the pack Tuesday, but didn't really hit any big speed bumps along the way. That kind of consistency pays off in the long run.
Pro: Under-the-radar success has produced a lot of past winners.
Con: Youth may hurt them when dealing with adversity.
Odds: Even
Ray & Yolanda
As with Joseph & Monica, we learned very little about them in Tuesday's episode, meaning they should stick around awhile. These two exude a quiet confidence under pressure. They also seem to work very well together, though sparks could fly later.
Pro: Combination of intelligence and athleticism usually a huge advantage.
Con: Appear a bit standoffish, which could hurt them when interacting with locals.
Odds: 5 to 2
BJ & Tyler
These two hippies get along really well together, and their appearance could cause other teams to dismiss them initially. With more strong finishes like Tuesday's, that will change quickly.
Pro: Teamwork, teamwork, teamwork.
Con: Obsession with their wacky image could conflict with race goals.
Odds: 4 to 1
THE CONTENDERS...
Eric & Jeremy
Self-avowed slackers, these two are easily the strongest team in the race, physically speaking. Their frat boy posturing wears a bit thin, but a friendly interaction with a helicopter pilot on Tuesday suggests they may be more down to earth than initially portrayed.
Pro: Physical tasks should be a breeze.
Con: Too easily distracted by attractive female competitors.
Odds: 7 to 1
David & Lori
Far and away the most likable couple in the race, nothing seems to frustrate them. This kind of amiable team is a rarity these days on "Race," so let's hope they stick around for awhile.
Pro: Grace under pressure could catapult them into the lead quickly.
Con: Lack of competitive drive.
Odds: 10 to 1
Lake & Michelle
This season's terrible twosome. Embracing just about every stereotype about gender roles in the deep south, Lake is as big a jerk you can get to be without being a career criminal. Fittingly, another team has already nicknamed him "Scott Peterson."
Pro: Extremely self-reliant.
Con: Bickering teams may progress far, but they rarely win.
Odds: 15 to 1
THE LONG SHOTS...
Wanda & Desiree
One of the more likable twosomes this year, it's nice to see a parent/child team that actually gets along well. Let's hope they don't start wearing on each others' nerves.
Pro: Excellent team interaction.
Con: No one to handle physically demanding tasks.
Odds: 20 to 1
Danielle & Dani
By opting for the motorcycle task on Tuesday, these ladies quickly illustrated a tendency to make bad decisions. Worse yet, they seem to be treating the race as their own personal dating service, a strategy that has instantly killed the hopes of every team that has tried it.
Pro: Sex appeal.
Con: Everything else.
Odds: 30 to 1
Lisa & Joni
While their exuberance is endearing, at times it smacks of Ugly American-ism. These two struggled often in Tuesday's premiere, and are already frontrunners for elimination in the race's second leg.
Pro: Good attitudes often carry weak teams farther than expected...
Con: ...but winning takes a lot more than a good attitude.
Odds: 50 to 1
Fran & Barry
When both members of a team repeatedly walk within two feet of a clue box and don't see it, the situation is pretty dire. "Race" producers should be commended for always finding room for sexagenarians on the show, but it's about time they cast an older team that can actually contend.
Pro: After 40 years of marriage, they know their strengths and weaknesses well.
Con: Knowing is only half the battle.
Odds: 100 to 1
ALREADY GONE...
John & Scott
Possibly the least competitive team ever cast on "The Amazing Race." At the very least, let's hope John has finally overcome his fear of flying.
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